An Open Letter to Ethical Vegan Rationalists, Effective Altruists, and AInotkilleveryonists

Soon we will all be Vegan, lab meat chemically indistinguishable from meat is in sight 🥩👀
Hundreds of Vegans, and tens of thousands of omnivores have switched to a carnivore diet, with truly outstanding results, including myself. Eating 95%+ meat heals the body, adjusts weights naturally, aligns our hunger cues and systems to nutritional cues, and, I swear on the future Superintelligent AI: makes you feel great literally all the time.

The carnivore diet is particularly helpful to vegans because it allows the body to heal from the various toxins in plants, which plants evolved to poison us since they can’t flee like animals. That includes any possible allergies you may have, oxalates, and other chemical agents, but most importantly it includes inflammation, which appears to be responsible not only for pain, arthritis, and fibromyalgia (commonly occurring in vegans) but also for the slow cognitive tempo and brain fog which many vegans experience. The carnivore mind is sharp as a tack, and experiences a lifted flat mood, no brain fog, a stronger level of drive (caused by a combination of cholesterol, testosterone and creatine, presumably) and it is free of depression.

Effective Altruists and AInotkilleveryonists deal with some of the world’s greatest problems every day, and can be often stressed, burned out, or otherwise live unhealthy habits in pursuit of the greater good. To not have depression, not have pain, not have brain fog, and not have an irritable mood are all extraordinarily valuable instrumental goals for productivity, anyone running on ketones and no carbs is doing a great service to themselves and their goals, whatever their goals are.

The calm, resolute demeanor of Carnivores is best conducive to social interaction, diplomacy, acquisition of power for good causes, and to navigate terrains with formidable foes, which we all have to go through on occasion.

The Numbers:
If we go extinct or another existential risk comes to pass, life can evolve on other planets leading to unimaginable quantities of wild animal suffering. Here on Earth human extinction could lead to the same outcome.

As one of the two only symbolic species in the known universe, and still cognitively superior to our counterpart GPT-4, it is our responsibility as stewards of the universe to remain at peak physiological and psychological capability, including mood, disposition, and nutrition. This cannot be presently done on a vegan diet by people with 95% of genomes, only by a few exceptions. Everyone else is self-inflicting psychological, mood, mental, disposition and physical damage by adopting a vegan way of eating. This includes you.

It is debatable whether agriculture land or pasture causes more suffering and pain, since we do not know the valence difference of different animal experiences. If the intensity of phenomenal pain is proportional to the fraction of cognition it represents, ants suffer far more than we or cows do. If the intensity of phenomenal pain is proportional to the loss in indirect fitness loss, as seems extraordinarily plausible given human suffering in the loss of relatives, then rodents and insects could be suffering tremendously more in the fields than cows are in pasture.

We are all mathematically savvy and familiar with the pareto principle of 80% of benefit from 20% of sacrifice. In the case of meat, this is more like 98% benefit to 2% sacrifice if you compare eating cows, who produce 222+kg of meat, to chickens or ducks, who produce fewer than 2kg. Cow meat also makes carnivores feel better than chicken meat, for the overwhelming majority of carnivores. I have personally raised cows as a child, milked them, fertilized them, etc… and I think most of those cows I’ve met would categorically prefer to have lived than not to have lived, if they were uplifted to Von Neumann intelligence and read the complete works of Derek Parfit, David Parce, Brian Tomasik, and Peter Singer.

Most importantly, however, we have a duty to any possible species out there in the cosmos being grounded in the terror machine of Darwinism to go there and abolish suffering, whether by changing their biology, their evolutionary process, or whatever else. For that, we need EA, AGI and rationalist vegans to be working at peak capacity.

It is truly hard to overstate the benefits of a Carnivore diet, especially for those coming from veganism. You can literally feel the nutrition, balance, and biochemical harmony it casts into your body. There are many, if not most people, who benefit from starting a vegan diet, especially a more radical raw or paleo vegan diet, this is because the food inside vegetables is so hidden behind a layer of defenses, physical (fiber) and chemical (toxins and “hormesis” lol), that your body begins to eat itself, and its self is made of meat. That’s why it feels great in the beginning, yet most vegans quit after a few years (I’ve heard mean is 7 but I’d be surprised if it was more than 4). Even vegan bodybuilders often have depleted facial musculature, if you learn to see it, you can’t unsee it. Most vegans however are either languid or chubby. The languid ones you can easily tell lack protein, and the chubby ones still suffer from oxalates, rashes, irritable moods, acne, hair loss, tooth decay and yellowing. Over 95% of vegans suffer from Vegan eyes, a depression over the eyelid, often accompanied by a pink malnourished shade, more rarely accompanied by panda eyes, dark circles around the eye. The harm veganism inflicts to the human body might be slow in comparison to straight up poison, but it is more harmful in its sequelae than many lingering diseases, perhaps comparable to long covid.

Just Eat Cows.

It is very likely that if you dedicate your time to stop factory farming, and decrease sales of chicken versus beef, that you will save far more pigs and chickens from suffering than the amount of cows you will cause pain to than if you didn’t eat cow, and you had to visit the doctor, the bathroom, and the supermarket, a lot more than you would on a nutritious carnivore diet.

Danger of emotional echo chambers

EA vegans are less prone to this than normal vegans but there is always a risk that your ingroup lost track of important information and rejects those who bring that information in. This endangers those in the ingroup because they end up making decisions based off one way of interpreting double blind studies on LDL and correlational studies on heart attack, and they never learn that those correlations don’t hold for carnivores who don’t eat bread sugar rice beer etc… and only eat meat, they also never learn that the sugar industry sponsored the studies on heart attack, or that the odds of having a second heart attack after having a first one are the same on an omni or veg diet, and that if the study was well designed (dubitable) the group with more plants lived only 5 days more. They literally spent that entire time between supermarket, cooking, feeling pain, sleeping longer to digest, and farting.

The scienticism of youth, oh what a beauty it is. I was once a young brilliant man or woman, like yourself. I believed statistics and correlational studies with the religious faith of one who believed in the algarisms past the comma in a quantum physics experiment. Now I am a scientist, and an analytic philosopher, I’ve read thousands and thousands of papers, I have a PhD in a human biological field, I’ve read a thousand books on science. I am truly one of the people in the world who knows more about the world around us, for I had 20 years to do nothing but study, talk to the world’s most brilliant people, think about science, philosophy, AGI, and bring a little brazilian dancing spirit to EA. Now I can see methodological flaws in studies on a glance, I can infer and track motivation in science in many cases, and I can distinguish wheat from chaff is many more cases than most professors. The studies favoring veganism nutritionally or health-wise are a hoax. They distort facts whether intentionally or not, and they are helping cause the obesity epidemic and other maladies occurring in the USA. Not all science is made the same, some science is better than others, but it takes 10 years to train your eyes to that, and that’s assuming your IQ is 130+, which, for you guys, is accurate.

Self-Improvement and Experimentation

You can do anything for 30 days. You are strong, young and vibrant, you’re brilliant and good, and you’re ready to tackle the world’s greatest challenges. You will do this better if you are eating a carnivore diet. That is meat, eggs, salt, possibly spices in moderation, butter. You don’t have to eat eggs. You can literally eat just ethically raised cow meat, aka, beef, and you will still experience all the benefits I mentioned above. Not only that, but you will actually experience MORE benefits from eating only meat than if you add in other carnivore foods like dairy, for most genomes.

I have tried Carnivore for 30 days, for weight loss, no immune issues, no pain, no fibromyalgia, no depression in fact a very positive baseline mood. I was not ready for the benefits (despite losing less weight than other carnivores). It truly transformed my mind and body into a different person. I am my full potential now, and I can feel it. My brain can automatically detect which macronutrient I need at a given moment, fat or protein, and which source, butter, egg, or meat, is the best source. I feel full, nourished, and truly happy, all the time. Don’t underestimate the instrumental value of feeling amazing. I guarantee that feeling amazing is totally worth it to help save the world in turbulent times. I am also more calm and secure in myself than my already very low neuroticism would prescribe. I am, in short, complete.
This way of eating was for me a diet for 30 days, but the shocking reality is that after those 30 days passed I abhor the very idea of becoming omnivore again. Why would I ever dispense with feeling this good, losing fat and gaining muscle without effort, perfect skin, and even mildly improved ADHD. I barely give a shit about the weight anymore. I am not giving this up, no matter what is on offer.
You, an ethical person who cares about crucial considerations, the future of humanity, and solving knotty problems that defy the world’s greatest minds, deserve to feel like I do.

For all these reasons, without any conflict of interest, with no other purpose than to help you feel and think your best, to heal any pain or depression and anxiety you may on occasion experience, to help you, to ineffectively altruistically help you, personally, my dear Effective Altruist colleague, I do not only ask, but beg, verily much implore that you give the full carnivore diet a chance. Eat fatty (very fatty, fattier than what you’re thinking now, there, perfect, that’s enough!) meat for one month.

Try it, other vegans who transitioned have had far more improvement than I, an omnivore, have had.

It is hard to believe, in fact I had no idea how good this was going to be. But it is true.

In Continued Defense of Right-Wing Effective Altruism

Not all EAs lean left. EA is not communism or socialism. Some of us think the global left is one of the greatest threats long-term to civilizational functioning and cohesion. Some of us think the State tends to screw up most jobs you give to it, that Islam doesn’t belong in the Americas or Europe, that feminism is cancer, like that type of cancer that grows eyes and hair, and that Trump, Bukele, Milei, Geert, Bolsonaro were all phenomenal choices, as was Brexit and as would be building a big, beautiful wall on the southern border. Some of us don’t think immigrants should vote, hell, some of us don’t think it was a great idea that ladies got the vote.

You can be a good, upstanding man, brave, courageous, meat-eating, gun-abiding, God-loving, and still think that saving more lives than were taken by terrorism and melanoma is a good thing. You can think there is a global agenda of depopulation of whites, and still think that human extinction would be an utterly, bewilderingly terrible outcome, and that putting safety precautions is desirable. You can be a localist, who cares about things up to 1 mile away from where you live and work, and nothing else, and still want to prevent the world from being destroyed by nukes.
In theory, you can be a literal nazi, and want to make sure that the ubermensch reigns long and hard, and spreads lebensraun across the galaxies.
You can be a monarchist, and think cognitively improving the king via artificial means is the way to go.

In short, every sub-branch of the right-wing is fully compatible with at least some of the Effective Altruism movement and actions.

Effective Altruism has started as a bunch of libertarian-leaning, computer science, and philosopher weirdos who thought it was better to do the actual good ourselves than let the government do it, or than signal that we were doing good without measuring how much good we were doing, like, in fact.

You don’t need to be aligned with the whole agenda. For example, I care a lot about animal welfare of future animals (which numerically exceed current animals) and I’m an Anti-Vegan advocate Carnivore. I think EAs are profoundly mistaken about what is a good way of causing happy animals, and I’m vocal about it.

So, if you’re interested and keen on making the world a better place by the most effective means possible, even if you are further right from me, you should still be wholly open to being an Effective Altruist.

Gratitude is the connecting point between the right-wing and Effective Altruism.

The Left is often moved by spite and envy, and The Right is often moved by gratitude.
The Critics and counters of Effective Altruism are often moved by spite and envy, whereas EA is moved by gratitude.

d/accs, like me, who think differential technological progress is conducive to better outcomes, as Vitalik suggested yesterday, can advocate for some things in common with EAs, like careful research into AI safety, while speeding up technologies that bear less risk to humanity as a whole.

Come thee of the right-wing, to our wonderful world of EA, not only you will be able to do more good than you would otherwise, but you might also change the minds of some younger EAs who still are grasped by the teeth of the Academia Left Agenda, not because they are not smart people, but because they never heard why you believe what you believe. Give them a chance to abandon the evil side, and join the fight for the good.

As someone who has made that very transition, 6 years ago, I can tell you it does not change our ability to be Effective Altruists. I was an EA for 12 years, 6, naively, on the center-left, 6, wisely, on the right and center.

You can be an Effective Altruist and be right-wing. That’s a fact.

@willmacaskill

@tobyordoxford

35 – When Did You Cry About The End?

Let us travel back in time, starting right now and walking backwards.

Today Elon announced on Twitter “Having a Bit of Existential AI angst today”

A couple days ago Sam Altman (ChatGPT OpenAI) wrote a text talking about AGI and taking it seriously in the OpenAI website. In the aknowledgements, he thanks a few of our folks, including the reasonable Paul Christiano, Nate Soares and Allan Dafoe – all of whom I know in person and vouch for as sincere EAs – Helen Toner, who I also know, and Holden Karnofsky, who I have always been suspicious of and continue to be, but many other people think he is a reasonable EA.

A day before that, Sam Altman showed up with Eliezer Yudkwosky and Grimes (Elon’s ex) in a viral internet picture.

The Day before, a podcast with Yudkowsky saying we are all going to die came out.

Now, you may see coincidence, but I see causation.

In that interview, Eliezer mentions when he cried.

2015. In 2015 me, Elon, and many other people gave presentations in the google based EA global. Elon’s condition for participating was that on top of the public facing panel on AI, they also did a private one.

They later came on to the hotel where we had a rationalist conference a few months before with all the top AI people and some of the smartest people on Earth. (I’ll post pictures of these events below) At that time it was already obvious for the best of us that Paul was the best of the young people. And Paul went on to create OpenAI with some other people.

Yudkowsky was close to the negotiating tables and stuff. But at some point, be it by Elon’s will, or by OpenAI policy, whatever, they decided to go open. People like me from the Nick Bostrom school of Superintelligence were scared about the name being OpenAI.

The story I told myself to sleep at night was that they were pretending and using the name Open so that anyone interested in Openess would go there, and we could neutralize them all if they were likely to destroy the world elsewhere. A small, very small part of me still believes this.

In the Interview, Yudkwoksy says that when that funding round happened and they were more moved by likes and dislikes and primate stuff, that is when he realized that we were not going to make it as a species. That is when he cried. That is when he realized the that we were not going to make it. 2015

Now if you’re new here. No one fought for this harder than Yudkwosky (not even Nick). Yudkwosky is a genius and one of the best people in history. Not only he tried to save us by writing things unimaginably ahead of their time like LOGI. But he kind of invented Lesswrong. Wrote the sequences to train all of us mere mortals with 140-160IQs to think better. Then, not satisfied, he wrote Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality to get the new generation to come play. And he founded the Singularity Institute, which became Miri. It is no overstatement that if we had pulled this off Eliezer could have been THE most important person in the history of the universe. Once someone asked me if I disliked Eliezer (I guess it was because he didn’t talk to me much despite us working in the same offices) my response was something like “I love Eliezer. There is nothing Eliezer could do to possibly cause me to dislike him. The only scenario where I can possibly imagine Eliezer doing something that would make me personally dislike him is if he was holding a blade to the neck of my family members. And even then once the situation was over I would still be extremely thankful to him for all he has done.” You get the idea. I like the guy.

Anyway, so Elon cried in 2023. Eliezer cried in 2015.

Back when I was leaving Oxford, right before Nick finished writing Superintelligence, in my last day right after taking our picture together, I thanked Nick Böstrom on behalf of the 10^52 people who will never have a voice to thank him for all he has done for the world. Before I turned back and left, Nick, who has knack for humour, made a gesture like Atlas, holding the world above his shoulders, and quasi letting the world fall, then readjusting. While funny, I also understood the obvious connotation of how tough it must be to carry the weight of the world like that. He didn’t cry then, in 2013, but that gesture was king of an emotional cry in a way. So let us say Nick cried in 2013.

I met Geoff Anders in 2012, while a visiting scholar in the Singularity Institute. He arrived 2 weeks before I did. I was like the 6th member of Leverage, about a day into knowing Geoff. I could see that he was there for the same reason I was, with the same intensity. It was pretty cool.

A few days into this trip, me, Geoff, and Justin Shovelain (another character from that world) went out for food. We were doing the same we all did, back in 2012. Talk at maximal speed about how to save a world on fire that didn’t know it was on fire. Back then, there were only like, I don’t even know. There were very few people who understood what was up. More than 10, fewer than 150.

And at some point in the conversation it just hit me. A jolt of neurotransmitters, feelings and sensations just overcame my body like a torrent and I stopped listening and speaking for a little bit.

At that moment I understood the magnitude of the responsibility that had been bequeath on us. I realized how rare I was. How few of us there were.

You may think it is fun to be Neo, to be the One or one of the Chosen ones. I can assure you it is not. We had discussions about how we couldn’t take the same plane, despite odds of planes falling being so low, because the risk for the world was so high. The stakes of every single conversation were astronomical. The opportunity cost of every breath was measured in galaxies.

And when my body finally processed that this is real, that it is actually happening, I did what our ape bodies do best. I cried. I cried with my whole heart. I cried in 2012.

I am sure that Nick, Yudkwosky, and others, have cried before. Put yourself in that position. Can you imagine the weight of the world on your shoulders like that?

Anyway. So, today, as far as I’m concerned, Elon cried.

Of course the situation isn’t the same anymore, not in the least.

Elon was convinced by Nick Bostrom, same as me. I don’t know when he joined the game exactly but we started trying to get him in 2013 and he was definitely on board, enough to present at EA Global and meet our folk and all that jazz in 2015. So at some point in between Nick broke through to him.

Peter Thiel’s book Zero to One has a final chapter that is literally just Nick Bostrom simplified – not interpretation, it says so in the chapter – so I’m sure Peter cried at some point before 2011 when I imagine he finished the course on which a student based the book they wrote. That’s when he cried. Peter and Elon are friends-ish. So you know, maybe that.

2023 is not like 2012, when I cried.

Eliezer and Nick never really believed we had a great chance. But the size of the chance we had in 2012 was so much, so much bigger than than the slim chance our actions matter now. Maybe we will all die. Maybe we will all go to AI heaven. But the odds that our actions will be what determines that have diminished orders of magnitude in between then and now.

Another guy who I saw cry, literally, was Michael Arc, also known as Vassar. It was 2012 and he had just returned from like, Israel, England etc… and he was fucking exhausted like I have seldom seen. He was “me at the end of Burning Man” tired. ‘Burned out’ was named after his state. The guy was a wreck. And in that conversation with a few people I think was a couple days before the day I cried with Geoff and Justin. That was the first time I heard someone state that “it is just us”. He was pointing out that with all the mechanisms they had put in place to locate people, it looked like there were no other people in other parts of the world, in the top unis, etc… there was no one else. It was just them (I had just arrived, I don’t think I should count) and there were not many of them. It was seeing him say that that began the cascade that led me to cry a few days later. That day, Vassar cried.

I also saw Anna Salamon’s day. The memory is blurry but I recall her having returned from England. She wasn’t sad though. She was very grounded and rational (this was before the meeting where I saw them found CFAR) and had just met Nick for the first time (I had not met him yet). She said they seemed to be “just like us, except more able to survive the bureocracy of academia” at least in England, I concluded, there was hope. We were not the only tribe on the case.

A post mortem: Did I do enough?

Well. We lost. So, based off that obvious metric I didn’t do enough. That is what Solzhenitsyin would say anyway.

Even the stuff I did do, like write a paper on AGI and psychology, I didn’t try to spread it to the relevant parties. I accepted being scapegoated relatively easy from the Berkeley world because of rejection sensitive disphoria and other stuff. If we use the Elon or Nate standard of “do whatever regardless of what you feel so we win no matter how unlikely our victory is” there is no doubt that I did not do enough. Thank goodness I am not as draconian as they are in my self judgement. I think for a random monkey in Brazil, I did some pretty high levels of stuff while the window of opportunity was open.

I helped create EA, gave the first TED talk, created a couple crucial consideration institutions, met Nick, Paul, Eliezer, Hanson and so on. I ran for a period the world’s largest EA house. I did a PhD in Altruism which is about creating the necessary conditions in the future world for things to go well both in the case AGI is possible and in the case it isn’t.

I met Toby and Will, of EA fame. Toby showed me what math philosophers should know. Will and I were a little more…. uh. Ok that’s not relevant for the internet. But what I’m most thankful to Will is that he saved me an amount of time that is hard to imagine. Pretty much everything I wanted to do between 2010 and 2016, Will did 2 years before I would. In so doing, Will relieved me of some responsibilities that I cannot express enough how grateful I am for. Will was like the bird in the front of the formation that breaks the air barrier, and he allowed me a much, much, much freer life than I would have without him. Thank You William MacAskill, for what you have done for me, personally.

I’m sure Will cried at some point. I hear from the grapevine that both Toby and Will joined our team, team Nick Bostrom, so to speak, over time. Both of them started as EAs but Toby’s latest book is on existential risk , The Precipice, and WIll’s latest book is What We Owe The Future. Basically the longer we lived, the more I saw them converge to the position I held back in the early days. Joao, my friend colleague and coauthor from Brazil, edited and did research for both books.

But anyway. All this is just a post-mortem pre-mortem. We haven’t died yet. But if even Elon is already in the crying stage, who is left trying to fight who understands the real odds at stake? Dr Strange? The odds are getting close to Avengers odds, which assuming reality fluid homogeneity across possible worlds in the MCU (a ridiculous assumption) is one in 15 million. We are not doing that bad yet, but, we’re less than 2 orders away from it.

So, that’s when everyone that I know cried.

If you have an idea of what to do to save the world, shoot me a message. Can’t really get much worse than this. And one of you may have a good one.

I should have spread my paper and PhD more thoroughly. But I lack the emotional stamina for it. The social dynamics of the Bay affected me, and being away was kind of a necessity psychologically.

Anyway, you don’t have that problem. If you have an idea to save the world, let me know. I can at least help you filter out the bullshit, and refine the decent ones to a level where we could bring them to some of the right people.

Maybe you haven’t cried yet. Maybe you never will.

But most of the rest of us cried.

I cried a little bit writing this text.

It’s ok to cry.

It is a big deal, and we are here for you.

For 22 years, relentlessly, we tried. Not only these characters whose cries I happened to witness, but hundreds of other people.

I thank and love every one of them.

I has been an absolute honor to serve with you all folks!

I’ll see you on the other side!

42 – Steelmanning the Other Side: Tinder, AI Girlfriends, Incels, Social Media, Porn, TikTok and Contemporary Dating (Yes, Really!)

Epistemic Status: Literally trying to build the steelman strongest case I can for the things above which a lot of people (me Very included) are very worried about. This is essay 42, and I think Steelmanning the other side can often be the solution to Life, The Universe, And Everything. Although I will steelman all these things together, I don’t disagree with all of them, I have always been a defender of Porn and TIkTok.

“The family is a fiction, but it is a useful fiction to keep useless men away from dangerous activities” – Someone 30+ years ago in a book

This will be more or less the sustaining basis of my argument.

Men don’t like hanging out with babies for extended periods too much. They get somewhat annoyed. Men like children more and more as they become closer to adolescence. Women always have and always will do primary care of younglings, cause, they like it more.

Back in prehistoric barbarism times size and strenghts were the chieftans of economic ability and protection capability. A service economy killed the first property, and firearms and a police force killed the second.

Men were once useful to protect women and children from strangers, and to bring home the bacon. Now the supermarket brings the bacon, and women can make enough money to raise kids, which again, they like more in the early years. So men have become useless.

The author of that book knew that millenia ago as soon as the second wave of feminism struck. Which, wow, Nietzsche level abstractive ability of predicting things.

So now Women can basically earn their own bacon, get good genes from a couple of guys, and use that money to raise some fine babies and kids.

Conservatives, falsely, believe that fathering matters. Here’s a bit of science for you: To test comparative anthropology stuff, you need to stabilize as much as you can, and vary the thing you’re trying to study. In the case of fatherness, the big confouding variable of course is genes. The question isn’t whether intact famillies do better than broken families with single mums. That’s a dumb question. The question is “how much of the fact that single mum kids suck is caused by the absence of dad in the environoment and male teachers, and how much is caused by the genes of that dad sucking?” and of course the response to that, like the response to literally every investigation into human psychology and behavioral genomics bar none ever is: it is WAY, WAY, WAY more genetic than we would like to admit. Take a guy who is a conscientious brilliant well adjusted low neuroticism, polite, orderly father of 7 in a protestant educated home, throw his genes around in ghetto single mums and watch some outstanding people rise from a terrible upbringing. His genes basically made them great, whereas the dad who leaves to get milk and never comes back is an asshat with bad genes.

So let us agree that in a service economy with power law wealth distribution and a police force, men are not necessary for the family. They contribute the genes and after that they are basically expensive pieces of furniture that tell the woman to make them a sandwich when she could instead be making power points from home for far more money for her and the kids. Plus, if she doesn’t have dad around at home, she can totally feel desired and loved like its the first time by going on dates with some local chads. And if she decides she needs a longer term companion, she can basically downgrade to a beta bux and he will happily provide for her and the kid.

So in short, men have become much less useful since the 1990s. We may not like it, but it’s facts. Whatever you think should be the case, the fact is that if you control for intelligence and select only like 110+ there are millions of single mums doing perfectly fine, alloparenting with friends, grandmas and nannies, and so on. Again, you have to control for genes, like everything else. Twins one of whom married to a dude and with 2 kids at home versus a twin single mum with also 2 kids at home. I mean, they will both do fine. The kids will likely do fine as well. Genes are far, far more important than we give them credit for, because we are afraid of eugenicists, and fair enough, eugenicists have been really annoying in the past.

So, families are no longer really necessary, or can be done on a partial basis, like a relationship between co-parenting parents that live in different apartments in the same neighbourhood etc…

That leaves us with, you guessed, a metric ton of men who are no longer in families. Now historically that’s how you build either an army or a civil war and unrest. We don’t need an army or a civil war, but the thing about the rise of useless men is that it coincided with The Great Dopamine Awakening and The Rise of Porn.

These two events not only countenanced what literally everyone expected (men will become super violent and society will descend into chaos) but OBLITERATED them. Porn, Only Fans, Playboy, surrogate relationships, one to many girlfriend subsistutes etc.. completely stopped men from doing riots and destroying everything. And videogames and TikTok and other stuff made the world far more interesting. So fucking damn interesting that it caused another event no one had predicted: A decline in alcohol consumption. Now I know alcohol is a little known substance that only a niche few berkeley hippies heard of but lucky for you I’m one of them and here’s the thing. HALF of all crime is alcohol related. That goes for boyfriends beating the shit out of their chicks, murders, car accidents, and all that jazz. So once we could get our fix from Phennibut, Caffeine, youtube and tiktok, and yes, even instagram, Crime went TO THE FLOOR. Crime is now half what it was. So let me say this again. Contrary to what everyone predicted every, although the number of marriages fell, the number of incels increased 4x+ topping 8% to like 30-50% now, the amount of crime at the very same time went down by 50%. Insane!

Now I have a confession to make .I am a TikTok user. And a Porn user. It all started when I was a …. I’m kidding you are a user too, and if not you’re addicted to some other social media, we all are.

Now here is a totally wild proposition: What if we stay on Tiktok instead of doing other things because Tiktok is BETTER? I know, shocker. I’ve lived on Tiktok for a long time. It is a positive place, full of energizing people who pull you up if you’re down, with great advice if you’re depressed, who will teach you things if you need to learn things, make you laugh when your friends didn’t invite you to a party, make you cry with emotional stories of kindness and generosity, seduce you with a level of sexyness that you almost never would get in real life even if you’re the boss of your neighbourhood mating market, and who will keep you away from boredom for literally 10 thousand hours. Tiktok will simply put give you what you want better than you knew what you wanted, forever, for free, by kind beautiful generous people, in a digestible, quick format that will elevate you and improve your life. Youtube does all those things though not as strongly because the algorithms are not as good, but it will also teach you how to think and allow you to be a bystander in the most interesting conversations in the world.

Instagram is bad, I can’t really steelman it, because guys hate instagram and are only in it because they want to get girls, which they fail at doing and get frustrated, and girls are in it to receive validation for photoshopped best pictures which are not really them and they get seriously depressed because there’s literally a million gilrs hotter than them, with an AI photoshopped face that is 15 years old, and thus absolutely unbeatable in the male preference market. But I can do Tinder. The human population is decidedly not homogenous. Girls who are hypersexual can go on Tinder and receive all the Chad sauce they need to be fulfilled. If they sleep with enough men (and they will cause I’m talking by definition about the most sociosexual women possible) then bam, a lot of guys get to unload some of their suffering from uselessness in their faces and breasts, which makes a for a great Tuesday night.

Now if the family is optional and has been for about 30 years or more, and not a survival necessity, men might have realized that they didn’t really like being servants to the upper class of women anymore. Like maybe, just maybe, there’s more to life than to live in a cubicle helping your boss get rich 15 hours a day to come home to a wife who only gets wet from seeing you occasionally and often demands some strange stuff from you.

Maybe, just maybe, Zelda Ocarina of Time, Smash Bros, Halo, Counter Srike etc… are actually more fun than women. I am not saying this ironically. I truly mean it. I think there’s a giant cohort of guys who pursue women because they think it is the right thing, whereas playing Magic, Fortnite, or watching the best 250 movies of all time on IMBD would actually make them much, much happier, with less stress and less demands.

I literally prefer playing Magic to Sex. I have literally passed on dates, several times, to play magic. A few times to scroll on TikTok. I am sure other men have variation on their preferences. So maybe the reason a lot of men are checking out, now that families don’t really need us anymore is because they literally found something better to do. Create a new Elvish language. Get jacked like Arnold. Climb everest, whatever. Women might always insist that “I’m not like other girls” but every guy my age who has been dating 18-25 year old girls for 16 years knows that that’s not really a totally accurate description of reality. Women are a lot alike, and there’s a ton, a metric ton, a fuckton of men who would like them if they were more easygoing, generous, and sexually available, but who genuinely feel like in their current form and shape, they are not the best ways to pass the time. I mean Dutch history is fascinating, chess is kinda cool, and live multiplayer action games are just better than reality. There are hundreds of millions of men who just don’t want women around except for cuddles, praise, and sex. And if you’re one of them, isn’t it great that men are useless now for non sperm purposes, and you’re not conscripted to serve a bitch for 3 decades before she flees with your money and kids? If you’re the kind of man that thinks like that, I’m sure lots of women will love that you self selected out of the market. MGTOW benefits women too.

This is only possible, of course, due to porn and other pararomantic parasocial relationships, which quelch the impossible for women to understand ferocity of the male sexual drive. Men are wild beasts, but now we can all share the experience of hooking up with a sex doll while inside a VR with a different hot 28 year old Ukraini@n r3fugee girl every night, who seduces on camera (in full size, 3d, with audio) then makes us feel validated, and then just let’s us spread our genes like Genghis Khan could never imagine on a creampie insiher. And much like a Starbucks coffe comes with a splash of environmental righteousness and save the planet virtue, ejaculating in that doll comes with a splash of giving Putin the middle finger and helping the war effort and saving democracy. (no joke, one of the VR websites has ukra1ne flags and US flags but no other flags, so you can help someone being damaged by the war)

Porn has always been good. Besides the diversity, it also helps people in long distance relatinoships to remain faithful, it helps disabled people get some semblance of mates, it helps ugly people not r@p3, and the benefits go on, and on, and on. The fact that like 2 people can create like literally 10 million orgasms with a well done video is just, I mean, historically unprecended. Mr Beast is making the world better. But he’s got nothing on Porn.

Humans are ridiculously adaptable. People in North Korea or in the poorest quintile of India are pretty happy. Mennonites study until age 13, then talk about the bible in low german until they die. Also pretty happy, and popping like 7 babies each. San Franciscans think not aborting is barbaric, not doing LSD is like going to the middle ages, Christianity is egypt level old, and cuddle parties are the new Vegas. Pretty happy on average as well, doing just fine. And no matter how much you try to attack them, they literally don’t give a shit about the shit and needles on the street, when they are walking 5 blocks betwen their weekly orgy and their startup meeting, which is just a pre-game for the hackaton, since, you know, it’s saturday.

Now women don’t want to have to deal with shitty men. And, to be honest, that seems kind of like a sensible position to have. I don’t wanna deal with shitty men either, specially not if they try anal every week. That shit hurts you know?

What I’m saying is that maybe having most men have these parasocial relationships might not be that bad.

I’m an expert at relationships (not Good relationships, don’t put the cart ahead of the horses) I’ve had 13 of them, 2 bad, 6 good, 5 excellent or so… And I’ve had parasocial relationships, first with a Yang-stan girl who I would leave playing in background, she’s asian (Hi Paget, I know we’re friends on facebook lol) so then I transitioned to another asian who talks about Dogecoin, Luci. I tried to get a thing going with ASMR Glow but I like ASMR males so much more that between The Laughing Heart and another guy I kinda had to break up with her, lol. I mean you get the idea. I was still dating real girls while all that happened, but it’s very obvious to me that the reason I watched so many videos of those two intelligent asian girls was to get some non-nagging, feminine, intelligent company while I cooked my steak or whatever I did sometimes. Some guys need it to be more girlfirend like so they go on Twich, pay the chick, do only fans, talk to indian men pretending to be her, and so on. And all the more power to them, for me literally having a voice in the background of an asian chick talking about something moderately interesting and occasionally looking at their long hair, was more than enough pararomantic relationship. But again people differ and some guys need much more engagement than that.

That engagement is coming. AI gfs are getting better and better. And let’s face it, most men think women can be a hassle with the whole shit testing and neuroticism and needing safety and “would you still love me if I was a worm” stuff. The AI versions will be super understanding empathic, encouraging, avaiable, sexy, and making you feel good. More and more men will voluntarily leave the market. That’s a good thing. First they won’t do raids. Second, much like the gays are awesome cause more women for us, they will leave even more women for us. At some point we will be drowning in pussy, real or virtual, and both will be happy, Chad and Zack (Zack is back!).

Is contemporary dating really all that bad? I mean I know everyone is complaining about it right now. But think about it. Fewer men are dating just because their balls are getting to heavy to carry, since there’s anime girls ready to get them off any second of the day. The few men who are going out there in the wild really do want a girl.

The girls sometimes only want validation and some free food. But men are kind of done with that, so they’re checking out.

Eventually since humans are incredibly adaptable, we should expect an equilibrium, where whatever are the conditions of dating, at that time, is exactly what the people who keep choosing to go to the dating market wanted from dating, at that time. If that balance will be Calígula level orgies between Chads and Sociosexual Stacies while everyone else stays at home or plays RPG, or if it will be christian couples who decided to pretend fathers are not useless because Jesus said so and want to play that game forever, I don’t know. But in either case, the people that want thing X will get thing X, and everyone else will leave that market.

We are living in a rare and unusual time where the tech came at us so fast that everyone is using it wrong. So everyone is sad and lonely and stuff. But soon the stigma on loneliness and Dolly, the doll, will go away, like the stigma on porn or being gay went away.

So men will freely choose to bang sillycon and play games on syllicon chips, removing carbon-heavy women out of the play altogether.

Women will get the best guys and the best genes, be some boss bitch if they want, and some pretend submissive christian wife if they want, and that that.

Right now we have men deceiving women and women being obligated by nature to filter men in ways that are not good for women or for men. But we will adapt. Hoes will be hoes, can’t make them a housewife after all. Some system like uber or postmates or amazon rating will emerge where we can track who is looking for longer or shorter relationships in a way that is hard to fake.

The main problem of contemporary dating (nothing can possibly correctly follow this sentence beginning) is fundamentally that we lost control of how to track people’s true intentions and capabilities. It is fundamentally a signalling problem. A millionaire extravert PhD in Altruism who speaks 5 languages and can travel with you for like, ever (any similarities with living persons is merely incidental), but who is only 5″10 and has a hispanic name might get filtered out before being even seen by any woman he would take actual interest in the streets, and hundreds of women who would be happy to hang with him will instead select via different signals that leave them heartbroken instead. Again for uber (aka strangers of the ethnicity you were most told to fear driving 16 year old girls in their cars drunk at night) we literally solve that problem. For amazon we solved it. For food, with yelp and postmates, we solved it. TikTok knows what you want way, way way more than you do. So we already know what you want without you telling us. Now make a robust signalling system so that long term maters will meet long term maters, and vice versa, a system of reputational tracking and relationship estimating that will actually find out if someone would be a good match for you or not, and bam. You win. You will be a trillionaire and you will kind of flat out solve the dating problem that rose a consequence of people meeting their significant other, or their insignificant sexual object, via discreet messaing and not through the veto of a community.

Soon we will be able to accurately signal who we are, the good the bad and the ugly, and at that time, dating will go back to being good. You may think people will not adopt that technology, and that`s not true. People will literally adopt anything women 15-26 adopt, because society follows them around. So as soon as those women conclude that`s the best way to both be happy mother of 4, and also on the other side of personality to be the target of a weekly bukkake, society will immediately, and without question, follow these young women to that new app.

So we are actually in the best of worlds. We created some stuff that is so fun and stimulating it is better than to be in a relationship for a large fraction of the population, and it makes people drop cigarretes and alcohol behind. We are finding ways for people to eventually be able to be sexual with exactly all the people they want to who want them back, and not one less, whereas people want 1 or 1000 of those, and we managed in the meanwhile to contain the violence and mess that would otherwise have emerged from men becoming useless without a rise in violence, r@p3 or civil unrest.

The number of orgasms in the world probably increased by a significant fraction and sexual pleasure might be at an all time high whilst unwanted sexual encounters are at an all time low, since women don`t need to be wives anymore, men don`t need to go out to a smoke filled club to catch a whale and can just lose 15 minutes before going back to homework to hangout with AI face of eva green in some super porn star video.

We are in an adjustement period, so there`s some discontent and lots of talk happening. But ultimately we will find a way to do what we need, and the optimistic news is we`ve done it with food and transport already.

And what will emerge on the other side of that is a future the likes of which our ancestors could never have dreamed of, with rivers of milk and honey, harps playing in orgiastic paradise, and the entire variety of human desire satisfied by a combination of real consenting loving people, when the numbers match, and virtual, perfectly optimized algorithmic AIs, when the numbers are skewed one way or another.

The future is glorious!

There are three cutting edge thinking clusters I believe we should unite

1) The Incentive Tensors:
Bostrom, Daniel Schmachtenberger (closer to the blade), David Sloan Wilson, Brett Weinstein, Joon Yun, Thiel, Eric Weinstein (trailing).

Trying to find the basins and attractors that might stabilize future evolution (cultural, technological and memetic) away from Continue reading The Three Thinking Clusters We Should Unite →

Solving Christmas and Thanksgiving: How to get liberals and conservatives in your family to empathize with one another
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1) This probably won’t work, but give it a shot.
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2) If you’re the Conservative: Liberals have emotions related to liberty and care. Or fairness. They don’t care about groupish stuff like loyalty, authority, sanctity, and purity. So in order to make them understand you, you have to reframe the stuff you care about in terms of either care, or liberty. More lefty types are Care above all things (lots of agreeableness).

So what you have to do is Continue reading Solving Christmas and Thanksgiving: How to get liberals and conservatives in your family to empathize with one another →

SPOILER ALERT

1. This is a personal tale, written by Diego and for Diego
2. This text holds more contradiction, narcissism and humility than any other I have written.
3. To understand it, know that what I am doing here is finding out my own story amidst all the Putnamian/Quinean interpretations of the parts of my life I can remember. My goal is to use that story to motion myself into a better future, to get out of a stuck place, it is not to prove that this story is a good story for others to live, but only to myself.
4. There are spoilers of Game of Thrones all the way up to, and including, the last episode. Leave now if you haven’t watched. SPOILER ALERT!

Continue reading Game of Thrones Has Shown Me My Narrative Was Never About Me →